Points
50.0%
16-16 · 32 GP
NBA 2025–26
Gradey Dick
Toronto Raptors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 50.0% (32 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Rebounds
35.7%
5-9 · 14 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
16-16
Average
7.5
Median
8.0
Games Played
32
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
7.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
1.3
Median
1.5
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
9-6
Average
1.5
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| EARLY season | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
2.2
Median
1.0
Games Played
14
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
12.5%
Record
1-7
Average
1.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.