Rebounds
50.0%
11-11 · 22 GP
NBA 2025–26
Grant Williams
Charlotte Hornets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 50.0% (22 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
47.6%
10-11 · 21 GP
Threes Made
44.4%
8-10 · 18 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
11-11
Average
3.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
22
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
2.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
| LATE season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.6%
Record
10-11
Average
8.1
Median
8.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
6-4
Average
7.1
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
8-10
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
7-7
Average
1.7
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| LATE season | 62.5% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.