Points
69.4%
25-11 · 36 GP
NBA 2025–26
Gui Santos
Golden State Warriors
Points 69.4% Over (36 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 2 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
76.7%
23-7 · 30 GP
Rebounds
42.9%
15-20 · 35 GP
Threes Made
45.2%
14-17 · 31 GP
Assists
64.3%
18-10 · 28 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
69.4%
Record
25-11
Average
14.1
Median
15.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
15.7
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
76.7%
Record
23-7
Average
24.6
Median
25.5
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
80.0%
Record
4-1
Average
23.2
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
FanDuel
O/U 21.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
15-20
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
35
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
6-7
Average
5.8
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.2%
Record
14-17
Average
1.7
Median
1.0
Games Played
31
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
40.9%
Record
9-13
Average
1.8
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 16.7% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 70.0% | — | 10 |
| LATE season | 44.4% | — | 9 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
64.3%
Record
18-10
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
3.2
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| LATE season | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.