Points
52.9%
37-33 · 70 GP
NBA 2025–26
Harrison Barnes
San Antonio Spurs
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 52.9% (70 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
46.4%
32-37 · 69 GP
Rebounds
43.5%
27-35 · 62 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.7%
19-20 · 39 GP
Assists
58.1%
18-13 · 31 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 10.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
37-33
Average
10.3
Median
9.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 10.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
9.6
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 27.3% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.4%
Record
32-37
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
27-27
Average
1.8
GP at Line
54
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 30 |
| AWAY | 44.4% | — | 27 |
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 27 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.5%
Record
27-35
Average
2.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
14-18
Average
2.4
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 22 |
| AWAY | 52.9% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 15 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.7%
Record
19-20
Average
17.2
Median
16.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 14.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
13.7
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| EARLY season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
58.1%
Record
18-13
Average
2.2
Median
2.0
Games Played
31
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
15-10
Average
2.2
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 62.5% | — | 16 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 15 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 14 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.