Points
48.1%
37-40 · 77 GP
NBA 2025–26
Immanuel Quickley
Toronto Raptors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.1% (77 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
51.9%
40-37 · 77 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.1%
37-40 · 77 GP
Assists
53.9%
41-35 · 76 GP
Rebounds
53.9%
41-35 · 76 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
37-40
Average
16.9
Median
17.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
39.3%
Record
11-17
Average
16.4
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
FanDuel
O/U 16.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 14 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.9%
Record
40-37
Average
2.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
52.3%
Record
34-31
Average
2.6
GP at Line
65
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 56.8% | — | 37 |
| AWAY | 47.2% | — | 36 |
| Rest: 1 | 48.5% | — | 33 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 26.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
37-40
Average
26.3
Median
26.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 26.5
Over Rate
42.3%
Record
11-15
Average
23.8
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
FanDuel
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 31.3% | — | 16 |
| vs FAST pace | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 14 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.9%
Record
41-35
Average
6.0
Median
6.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
73.5%
Record
25-9
Average
6.3
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 78.9% | — | 19 |
| vs FAST pace | 82.4% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 15 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.9%
Record
41-35
Average
4.1
Median
4.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
63.4%
Record
26-15
Average
4.1
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 59.1% | — | 22 |
| Rest: 1 | 65.0% | — | 20 |
| vs FAST pace | 65.0% | — | 20 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.