Points
52.5%
32-29 · 61 GP
Assists
40.0%
24-36 · 60 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
40.4%
21-31 · 52 GP
Rebounds
42.9%
21-28 · 49 GP
Threes Made
47.1%
8-9 · 17 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
12 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
9 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
5 GP · 20% over
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
75.0% |
— |
8 |
| vs FAST pace |
71.4% |
— |
7 |
| MID season |
50.0% |
— |
6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
11 GP · 55% over
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
11 GP · 73% over
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
6 GP · 17% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
70.0% |
— |
10 |
| HOME |
85.7% |
— |
7 |
| vs FAST pace |
57.1% |
— |
7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
9 GP · 56% over
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
6 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
3 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
3 GP · 0% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
71.4% |
— |
7 |
| vs MID pace |
83.3% |
— |
6 |
| HOME |
50.0% |
— |
6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
26 GP · 39% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
9 GP · 44% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
6 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
4 GP · 25% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs MID pace |
31.6% |
— |
19 |
| Rest: 1 |
17.6% |
— |
17 |
| HOME |
35.3% |
— |
17 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
16 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
55.6% |
— |
9 |
| vs FAST pace |
62.5% |
— |
8 |
| AWAY |
62.5% |
— |
8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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