Points
48.9%
22-23 · 45 GP
NBA 2025–26
Isaiah Hartenstein
Oklahoma City Thunder
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.9% (45 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
50.0%
22-22 · 44 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.2%
19-24 · 43 GP
Assists
50.0%
21-21 · 42 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.9%
Record
22-23
Average
9.3
Median
10.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
11.4
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
22-22
Average
9.4
Median
9.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
58.3%
Record
7-5
Average
10.5
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 19.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
19-24
Average
22.5
Median
21.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 19.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
4-3
Average
24.3
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
21-21
Average
3.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
55.0%
Record
11-9
Average
3.9
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| vs MID pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.