Assists
25.0%
4-12 · 16 GP
NBA 2025–26
Isaiah Joe
Oklahoma City Thunder
Assists 25.0% Under (16 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
48.0%
24-26 · 50 GP
Threes Made
44.9%
22-27 · 49 GP
Rebounds
40.0%
16-24 · 40 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
12-12 · 24 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
4-12
Average
1.4
Median
1.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
2-6
Average
1.4
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 10.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
24-26
Average
11.8
Median
12.0
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 10.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
10.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.9%
Record
22-27
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
49
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
42.3%
Record
11-15
Average
2.3
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.7% | — | 15 |
| AWAY | 53.3% | — | 15 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
16-24
Average
2.6
Median
2.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
39.1%
Record
9-14
Average
2.2
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
12-12
Average
15.6
Median
14.0
Games Played
24
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
16.7%
Record
1-5
Average
11.8
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.