Rebounds
36.8%
7-12 · 19 GP
NBA 2025–26
Ja Morant
Memphis Grizzlies
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 36.8% (19 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
36.8%
7-12 · 19 GP
Assists
63.2%
12-7 · 19 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.4%
9-10 · 19 GP
Threes Made
38.9%
7-11 · 18 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.8%
Record
7-12
Average
3.2
Median
3.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
6-7
Average
3.2
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 24.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.8%
Record
7-12
Average
20.2
Median
21.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 24.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
1-4
Average
19.8
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
63.2%
Record
12-7
Average
8.3
Median
8.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
7.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| EARLY season | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
9-10
Average
31.7
Median
33.0
Games Played
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 36.5
DraftKings
O/U 37.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
7-11
Average
0.9
Median
0.5
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
31.3%
Record
5-11
Average
0.8
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 12 |
| EARLY season | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 27.3% | — | 11 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.