Points
57.5%
42-31 · 73 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 57.5% (73 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
54.8%
40-33 · 73 GP
Rebounds
53.4%
39-34 · 73 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
26-26 · 52 GP
Assists
47.4%
18-20 · 38 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
57.5%
Record
42-31
Average
15.5
Median
16.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 14.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
10-10
Average
15.5
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
FanDuel
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 46.2% | — | 13 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 10 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.8%
Record
40-33
Average
2.3
Median
2.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
71.8%
Record
28-11
Average
2.2
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 78.3% | — | 23 |
| vs FAST pace | 70.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 77.8% | — | 18 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.4%
Record
39-34
Average
6.8
Median
7.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
58.5%
Record
24-17
Average
6.7
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 59.1% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 71.4% | — | 21 |
| MID season | 68.4% | — | 19 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
26-26
Average
23.1
Median
23.0
Games Played
52
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
22.6
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
18-20
Average
1.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
38
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
51.7%
Record
15-14
Average
1.6
GP at Line
29
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 56.3% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 53.3% | — | 15 |
| vs FAST pace | 57.1% | — | 14 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.