Points
52.9%
9-8 · 17 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jaden Hardy
Dallas Mavericks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 52.9% (17 GP) · 2 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
46.2%
6-7 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
12.3
Median
12.0
Games Played
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
6-7
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
3.7
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.