Pts+Reb+Ast
30.0%
6-14 · 20 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jaden Ivey
Detroit Pistons
Pts+Reb+Ast 30.0% Under (20 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 3 strong signals
Rebounds
35.0%
7-13 · 20 GP
Assists
23.5%
4-13 · 17 GP
Points
40.5%
15-22 · 37 GP
Threes Made
48.4%
15-16 · 31 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
6-14
Average
11.9
Median
11.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
14.3%
Record
1-6
Average
7.0
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 0.0% | — | 5 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
35.0%
Record
7-13
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
5-10
Average
2.1
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 38.5% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
23.5%
Record
4-13
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
17
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
1.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 5 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.5%
Record
15-22
Average
8.0
Median
8.0
Games Played
37
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
23.1%
Record
3-10
Average
7.6
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| MID season | 11.1% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
15-16
Average
1.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
31
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
35.0%
Record
7-13
Average
1.2
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 41.2% | — | 17 |
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 27.3% | — | 11 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.