Rebounds
47.5%
19-21 · 40 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jakob Poeltl
Toronto Raptors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 47.5% (40 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
50.0%
20-20 · 40 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.4%
12-17 · 29 GP
Assists
37.5%
9-15 · 24 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.5%
Record
19-21
Average
7.8
Median
8.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
7-11
Average
7.9
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
20-20
Average
10.8
Median
9.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
12.0
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
41.4%
Record
12-17
Average
21.5
Median
21.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
25.3
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
9-15
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
24
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
18.8%
Record
3-13
Average
1.6
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 11.1% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.