Threes Made
42.9%
15-20 · 35 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jalen Green
Phoenix Suns
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 42.9% (35 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
51.5%
17-16 · 33 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.4%
15-16 · 31 GP
Rebounds
46.7%
14-16 · 30 GP
Assists
48.3%
14-15 · 29 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
15-20
Average
2.3
Median
2.0
Games Played
35
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
2.5
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 72.7% | — | 11 |
| STRETCH season | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.5%
Record
17-16
Average
18.8
Median
20.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
80.0%
Record
4-1
Average
23.0
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
FanDuel
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRETCH season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
15-16
Average
24.8
Median
28.0
Games Played
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
FanDuel
O/U 25.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
14-16
Average
3.9
Median
4.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
7-4
Average
4.2
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| STRETCH season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.3%
Record
14-15
Average
2.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
2.6
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| STRETCH season | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.