Pts+Reb+Ast
56.7%
38-29 · 67 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Pts+Reb+Ast 56.7% (67 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
55.2%
37-30 · 67 GP
Points
62.1%
41-25 · 66 GP
Rebounds
51.5%
34-32 · 66 GP
Threes Made
57.1%
36-27 · 63 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 43.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.7%
Record
38-29
Average
39.9
Median
42.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 43.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
37.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 43.5
DraftKings
O/U 42.5
DraftKings
O/U 37.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.2%
Record
37-30
Average
8.0
Median
8.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
14-8
Average
8.5
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 75.0% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 70.0% | — | 10 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
62.1%
Record
41-25
Average
22.8
Median
23.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
22.9
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.5%
Record
34-32
Average
10.5
Median
10.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
9-9
Average
9.9
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 75.0% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
36-27
Average
1.6
Median
2.0
Games Played
63
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
59.6%
Record
28-19
Average
1.7
GP at Line
47
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 53.8% | — | 26 |
| HOME | 41.7% | — | 24 |
| AWAY | 78.3% | — | 23 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.