Points
25.0%
4-12 · 16 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jalen Pickett
Denver Nuggets
Points 25.0% Under (16 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 2 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
25.0%
4-12 · 16 GP
Assists
40.0%
6-9 · 15 GP
Rebounds
40.0%
6-9 · 15 GP
Threes Made
23.1%
3-10 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
4-12
Average
5.6
Median
4.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
1-4
Average
5.0
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
4-12
Average
12.6
Median
10.0
Games Played
16
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
6-9
Average
3.7
Median
3.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
2-4
Average
3.0
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
6-9
Average
3.7
Median
3.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
3-4
Average
3.9
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
23.1%
Record
3-10
Average
1.1
Median
0.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
22.2%
Record
2-7
Average
0.8
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| MID season | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.