Rebounds
42.2%
19-26 · 45 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jalen Smith
Chicago Bulls
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 42.2% (45 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
52.3%
23-21 · 44 GP
Threes Made
56.4%
22-17 · 39 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.5%
5-8 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.2%
Record
19-26
Average
6.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
4.8
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.3%
Record
23-21
Average
11.5
Median
12.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
9.9
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| EARLY season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.4%
Record
22-17
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
62.5%
Record
15-9
Average
1.8
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 15 |
| Rest: 1 | 83.3% | — | 12 |
| vs MID pace | 63.6% | — | 11 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
19.9
Median
22.0
Games Played
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.