Points
47.5%
28-31 · 59 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jalen Suggs
Orlando Magic
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 47.5% (59 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
44.8%
26-32 · 58 GP
Assists
60.7%
34-22 · 56 GP
Rebounds
49.1%
27-28 · 55 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
27-27 · 54 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.5%
Record
28-31
Average
13.8
Median
14.0
Games Played
59
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 14.5
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
7-9
Average
15.4
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
FanDuel
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.8%
Record
26-32
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
58
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
13-13
Average
1.8
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.9% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 31.3% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 64.3% | — | 14 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.7%
Record
34-22
Average
5.4
Median
5.5
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
9-9
Average
5.4
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 61.5% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.1%
Record
27-28
Average
3.8
Median
3.0
Games Played
55
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
45.2%
Record
14-17
Average
3.5
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.1% | — | 19 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 18 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 24.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
27-27
Average
23.1
Median
23.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 24.5
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
3-7
Average
22.4
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
FanDuel
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.