Threes Made
28.6%
6-15 · 21 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jalen Williams
Oklahoma City Thunder
Threes Made 28.6% Under (21 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
38.5%
10-16 · 26 GP
Assists
57.7%
15-11 · 26 GP
Rebounds
52.0%
13-12 · 25 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.0%
12-13 · 25 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
6-15
Average
0.9
Median
1.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
13.3%
Record
2-13
Average
0.9
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 14.3% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 8.3% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 9.1% | — | 11 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
10-16
Average
16.2
Median
16.5
Games Played
26
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
4-7
Average
16.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
FanDuel
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 22.2% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
57.7%
Record
15-11
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
26
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
4.6
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 38.5% | — | 13 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
52.0%
Record
13-12
Average
4.7
Median
4.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
4.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 28.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
12-13
Average
26.5
Median
28.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 28.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
2-4
Average
24.8
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.