Points
54.3%
44-37 · 81 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 54.3% (81 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
46.9%
38-43 · 81 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
57.5%
46-34 · 80 GP
Rebounds
56.3%
45-35 · 80 GP
Threes Made
45.0%
36-44 · 80 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 23.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.3%
Record
44-37
Average
25.1
Median
24.0
Games Played
81
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 23.5
Over Rate
26.7%
Record
4-11
Average
21.4
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 22.2% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.9%
Record
38-43
Average
7.2
Median
7.0
Games Played
81
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
46.3%
Record
19-22
Average
6.9
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 47.6% | — | 21 |
| HOME | 45.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 61.1% | — | 18 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 36.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
57.5%
Record
46-34
Average
36.1
Median
37.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 36.5
Over Rate
61.5%
Record
8-5
Average
37.5
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 36.5
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.3%
Record
45-35
Average
4.2
Median
4.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
58.3%
Record
28-20
Average
4.3
GP at Line
48
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 64.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 41.7% | — | 24 |
| AWAY | 52.2% | — | 23 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
36-44
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
51.7%
Record
31-29
Average
3.1
GP at Line
60
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 48.5% | — | 33 |
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 27 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.7% | — | 26 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.