Threes Made
53.7%
22-19 · 41 GP
NBA 2025–26
James Harden
LA Clippers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 53.7% (41 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
48.8%
20-21 · 41 GP
Assists
47.5%
19-21 · 40 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
54.1%
20-17 · 37 GP
Rebounds
41.7%
15-21 · 36 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.7%
Record
22-19
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
41
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
62.5%
Record
20-12
Average
3.0
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Fanatics
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| vs MID pace | 92.3% | — | 13 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.8%
Record
20-21
Average
22.8
Median
21.0
Games Played
41
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
2-6
Average
18.5
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
FanDuel
O/U 24.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.5%
Record
19-21
Average
8.2
Median
8.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
53.3%
Record
8-7
Average
8.5
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| vs MID pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 32.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.1%
Record
20-17
Average
35.7
Median
35.0
Games Played
37
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 32.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
4-2
Average
34.3
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
15-21
Average
5.1
Median
5.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
9-6
Average
5.0
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.