Points
46.7%
21-24 · 45 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jared McCain
Philadelphia 76ers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.7% (45 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
45.7%
16-19 · 35 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
9-9 · 18 GP
Rebounds
64.7%
11-6 · 17 GP
Assists
53.3%
8-7 · 15 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
21-24
Average
9.5
Median
8.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
22.2%
Record
2-7
Average
5.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.7%
Record
16-19
Average
1.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
35
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
39.3%
Record
11-17
Average
1.5
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 38.9% | — | 18 |
| vs FAST pace | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
9-9
Average
14.7
Median
14.5
Games Played
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
64.7%
Record
11-6
Average
3.2
Median
3.0
Games Played
17
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
7-4
Average
2.8
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 83.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
53.3%
Record
8-7
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
2.8
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.