Points
26.7%
12-33 · 45 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Memphis Grizzlies
Points 26.7% Under (45 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 2 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
27.5%
11-29 · 40 GP
Rebounds
64.4%
29-16 · 45 GP
Threes Made
53.3%
24-21 · 45 GP
Assists
42.4%
14-19 · 33 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
26.7%
Record
12-33
Average
19.0
Median
18.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
12.5%
Record
1-7
Average
17.0
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 0.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 27.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
27.5%
Record
11-29
Average
27.0
Median
26.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 27.5
Over Rate
27.3%
Record
3-8
Average
25.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 22.2% | — | 9 |
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
64.4%
Record
29-16
Average
6.4
Median
6.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
63.3%
Record
19-11
Average
6.0
GP at Line
30
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 70.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 75.0% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 16 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.3%
Record
24-21
Average
1.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
57.9%
Record
22-16
Average
1.7
GP at Line
38
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 56.0% | — | 25 |
| HOME | 52.2% | — | 23 |
| MID season | 55.0% | — | 20 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.4%
Record
14-19
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
7-9
Average
1.6
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| EARLY season | 33.3% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.