Points
46.2%
18-21 · 39 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jaxson Hayes
Los Angeles Lakers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.2% (39 GP) · 2 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
48.7%
19-20 · 39 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
18-21
Average
8.0
Median
7.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
4.9
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.7%
Record
19-20
Average
4.5
Median
4.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
65.0%
Record
13-7
Average
4.3
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 77.8% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.