Points
57.3%
43-32 · 75 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jaylen Brown
Boston Celtics
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 57.3% (75 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
60.3%
44-29 · 73 GP
Rebounds
62.5%
45-27 · 72 GP
Threes Made
45.8%
33-39 · 72 GP
Assists
46.5%
33-38 · 71 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 29.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
57.3%
Record
43-32
Average
28.0
Median
30.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 29.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
8-8
Average
28.4
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 41.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.3%
Record
44-29
Average
39.6
Median
42.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 41.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
42.0
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 37.5
DraftKings
O/U 40.5
DraftKings
O/U 41.5
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| LATE season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
62.5%
Record
45-27
Average
7.3
Median
7.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
68.8%
Record
22-10
Average
7.5
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 76.5% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 76.5% | — | 17 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 15 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.8%
Record
33-39
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
58.1%
Record
25-18
Average
1.9
GP at Line
43
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 24 |
| HOME | 63.6% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 54.5% | — | 22 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.5%
Record
33-38
Average
5.1
Median
5.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
21-21
Average
5.0
GP at Line
42
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 24 |
| HOME | 52.2% | — | 23 |
| vs FAST pace | 61.9% | — | 21 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.