Rebounds
33.3%
10-20 · 30 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jaylin Williams
Oklahoma City Thunder
Rebounds 33.3% Under (30 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 3 strong signals
Points
31.0%
9-20 · 29 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
26.3%
5-14 · 19 GP
Assists
38.1%
8-13 · 21 GP
Threes Made
57.9%
11-8 · 19 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
10-20
Average
5.9
Median
5.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
4.7
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
31.0%
Record
9-20
Average
8.5
Median
6.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
6.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| EARLY season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
26.3%
Record
5-14
Average
17.1
Median
15.0
Games Played
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.1%
Record
8-13
Average
2.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
2.3
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
57.9%
Record
11-8
Average
2.2
Median
2.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
1.8
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.