Points
57.1%
8-6 · 14 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jayson Tatum
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 57.1% (14 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
53.8%
7-6 · 13 GP
Assists
25.0%
3-9 · 12 GP
Threes Made
41.7%
5-7 · 12 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.7%
5-7 · 12 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
18.8
Median
19.5
Games Played
14
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
8.3
Median
9.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
8.8
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
3-9
Average
3.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
12
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
0.0%
Record
0-6
Average
2.0
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
2.8
Median
2.5
Games Played
12
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
2.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| STRETCH season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
31.7
Median
31.5
Games Played
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.