Points
49.3%
37-38 · 75 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jeremiah Fears
New Orleans Pelicans
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 49.3% (75 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
50.0%
35-35 · 70 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.8%
33-36 · 69 GP
Rebounds
48.5%
33-35 · 68 GP
Threes Made
45.8%
22-26 · 48 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.3%
Record
37-38
Average
12.8
Median
12.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 12.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
12.2
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
35-35
Average
3.1
Median
3.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
18-16
Average
2.7
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 39.1% | — | 23 |
| MID season | 44.4% | — | 18 |
| AWAY | 44.4% | — | 18 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.8%
Record
33-36
Average
19.3
Median
19.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
20.9
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.5%
Record
33-35
Average
3.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
68
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
48.8%
Record
20-21
Average
3.8
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 24 |
| HOME | 54.5% | — | 22 |
| Rest: 1 | 47.6% | — | 21 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.8%
Record
22-26
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
48
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
40.7%
Record
11-16
Average
1.4
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 31.3% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.7% | — | 15 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 14 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.