Points
42.9%
9-12 · 21 GP
Threes Made
43.8%
7-9 · 16 GP
Assists
25.0%
3-9 · 12 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
30.0%
3-7 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
4 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| AWAY |
40.0% |
— |
5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
9 GP · 56% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
16.7% |
— |
6 |
| AWAY |
50.0% |
— |
6 |
| HOME |
60.0% |
— |
5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
9 GP · 22% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| AWAY |
33.3% |
— |
6 |
| vs FAST pace |
0.0% |
— |
5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
4 GP · 25% over
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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Full evidence pack