Points
66.7%
24-12 · 36 GP
NBA 2025–26
Joel Embiid
Philadelphia 76ers
Points 66.7% Over (36 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Assists
38.9%
14-22 · 36 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
61.1%
22-14 · 36 GP
Rebounds
44.4%
16-20 · 36 GP
Threes Made
47.2%
17-19 · 36 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
24-12
Average
28.1
Median
29.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 25.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
2-3
Average
24.4
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
14-22
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
47.6%
Record
10-11
Average
3.7
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| MID season | 46.2% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 38.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
61.1%
Record
22-14
Average
39.8
Median
40.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 38.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
1-4
Average
38.0
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 38.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
16-20
Average
7.7
Median
7.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
61.5%
Record
8-5
Average
8.3
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| MID season | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 75.0% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.2%
Record
17-19
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
10-18
Average
1.5
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 38.9% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 41.2% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 31.3% | — | 16 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.