Points
33.3%
9-18 · 27 GP
NBA 2025–26
Johnny Furphy
Indiana Pacers
Points 33.3% Under (27 GP) · 3 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Rebounds
55.6%
15-12 · 27 GP
Threes Made
37.5%
6-10 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
9-18
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
18.2%
Record
2-9
Average
3.6
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 14.3% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
15-12
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
70.0%
Record
7-3
Average
5.9
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 85.7% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
6-10
Average
0.7
Median
1.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
0.7
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.