Rebounds
40.4%
23-34 · 57 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jonas Valanciunas
Denver Nuggets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 40.4% (57 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
50.9%
29-28 · 57 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
43.8%
7-9 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.4%
Record
23-34
Average
5.1
Median
4.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
12-20
Average
4.1
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 38.9% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.9% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 18 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.9%
Record
29-28
Average
8.5
Median
8.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
52.4%
Record
11-10
Average
7.7
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 61.5% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 58.3% | — | 12 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
7-9
Average
18.3
Median
19.0
Games Played
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.