Points
28.6%
8-20 · 28 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jonathan Kuminga
Golden State Warriors
Points 28.6% Under (28 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 3 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.7%
5-18 · 23 GP
Threes Made
18.8%
3-13 · 16 GP
Rebounds
63.0%
17-10 · 27 GP
Assists
47.6%
10-11 · 21 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
8-20
Average
11.9
Median
10.0
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
3-4
Average
15.0
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
21.7%
Record
5-18
Average
18.8
Median
16.0
Games Played
23
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 25.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
26.4
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
18.8%
Record
3-13
Average
0.6
Median
0.5
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
15.4%
Record
2-11
Average
0.7
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 11.1% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
63.0%
Record
17-10
Average
5.9
Median
6.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
75.0%
Record
6-2
Average
5.8
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.6%
Record
10-11
Average
2.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
72.7%
Record
8-3
Average
3.0
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 85.7% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 83.3% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.