Points
56.1%
23-18 · 41 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jordan Goodwin
Phoenix Suns
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 56.1% (41 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
51.4%
19-18 · 37 GP
Threes Made
48.4%
15-16 · 31 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
46.7%
14-16 · 30 GP
Assists
36.0%
9-16 · 25 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.1%
Record
23-18
Average
9.3
Median
8.0
Games Played
41
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
8-4
Average
11.6
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 85.7% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.4%
Record
19-18
Average
5.4
Median
5.0
Games Played
37
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
4.5
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
15-16
Average
1.7
Median
1.0
Games Played
31
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
55.0%
Record
11-9
Average
2.0
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 41.7% | — | 12 |
| Rest: 1 | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 75.0% | — | 8 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
14-16
Average
16.9
Median
16.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
2-5
Average
16.1
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.0%
Record
9-16
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
35.0%
Record
7-13
Average
2.0
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| MID season | 30.0% | — | 10 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.