Points
46.7%
14-16 · 30 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jordan Poole
New Orleans Pelicans
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.7% (30 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
46.4%
13-15 · 28 GP
Assists
43.5%
10-13 · 23 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
36.8%
7-12 · 19 GP
Rebounds
38.9%
7-11 · 18 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
14-16
Average
13.3
Median
12.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
3-4
Average
12.9
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
46.4%
Record
13-15
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
31.3%
Record
5-11
Average
2.3
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| MID season | 22.2% | — | 9 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
43.5%
Record
10-13
Average
3.3
Median
3.0
Games Played
23
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
3.1
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| MID season | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.8%
Record
7-12
Average
20.1
Median
19.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
2-4
Average
17.2
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 5 |
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
7-11
Average
2.2
Median
2.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
2.0
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.