Points
55.2%
16-13 · 29 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jordan Walsh
Boston Celtics
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 55.2% (29 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
50.0%
13-13 · 26 GP
Threes Made
60.0%
9-6 · 15 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
55.2%
Record
16-13
Average
6.7
Median
5.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
4.8
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
13-13
Average
4.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
26
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
75.0%
Record
6-2
Average
6.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
9-6
Average
0.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
64.3%
Record
9-5
Average
0.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.