Points
48.7%
19-20 · 39 GP
NBA 2025–26
Josh Okogie
Houston Rockets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.7% (39 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
47.1%
16-18 · 34 GP
Threes Made
52.6%
10-9 · 19 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.7%
Record
19-20
Average
5.9
Median
6.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
6.0
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
16-18
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
34
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
58.8%
Record
10-7
Average
2.9
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| MID season | 62.5% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
52.6%
Record
10-9
Average
1.1
Median
1.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
81.8%
Record
9-2
Average
1.4
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.