Points
54.8%
23-19 · 42 GP
NBA 2025–26
Justin Champagnie
Washington Wizards
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 54.8% (42 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
50.0%
20-20 · 40 GP
Threes Made
37.5%
6-10 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 10.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.8%
Record
23-19
Average
9.3
Median
10.5
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 10.5
Over Rate
62.5%
Record
5-3
Average
9.5
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 0 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
20-20
Average
5.9
Median
6.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
6.8
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
6-10
Average
0.8
Median
0.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
6-9
Average
0.6
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| vs MID pace | 11.1% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.