Points
33.3%
7-14 · 21 GP
NBA 2025–26
Justin Edwards
Philadelphia 76ers
Points 33.3% Under (21 GP) · 3 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Threes Made
35.3%
6-11 · 17 GP
Rebounds
50.0%
8-8 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
7-14
Average
8.8
Median
8.0
Games Played
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
35.3%
Record
6-11
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
17
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
6-7
Average
1.8
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| EARLY season | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
8-8
Average
2.9
Median
2.5
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
2.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.