Assists
65.0%
26-14 · 40 GP
NBA 2025–26
Jusuf Nurkic
Utah Jazz
Assists 65.0% Over (40 GP) · 4 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
57.8%
26-19 · 45 GP
Rebounds
62.8%
27-16 · 43 GP
Points
53.5%
23-20 · 43 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
65.0%
Record
26-14
Average
5.6
Median
5.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
70.4%
Record
19-8
Average
4.9
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 73.3% | — | 15 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 15 |
| MID season | 78.6% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
57.8%
Record
26-19
Average
24.4
Median
26.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 25.5
Over Rate
77.8%
Record
7-2
Average
30.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 83.3% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
62.8%
Record
27-16
Average
10.7
Median
10.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
12-8
Average
11.2
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 41.7% | — | 12 |
| vs MID pace | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| MID season | 45.5% | — | 11 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.5%
Record
23-20
Average
11.6
Median
11.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
8-4
Average
10.8
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 85.7% | — | 7 |
| vs MID pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.