Points
41.0%
34-49 · 83 GP
Rebounds
56.1%
46-36 · 82 GP
Threes Made
43.8%
35-45 · 80 GP
Assists
39.2%
31-48 · 79 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.8%
33-46 · 79 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
10 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
10 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
9 GP · 22% over
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
6 GP · 83% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
36.4% |
— |
11 |
| vs MID pace |
42.9% |
— |
7 |
| MID season |
33.3% |
— |
6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
25 GP · 44% over
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
15 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
11 GP · 73% over
FanDuel
O/U 11.5
11 GP · 46% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
43.5% |
— |
23 |
| Rest: 1 |
45.0% |
— |
20 |
| vs MID pace |
50.0% |
— |
16 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
44 GP · 46% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
16 GP · 44% over
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
10 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
8 GP · 38% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
53.1% |
— |
32 |
| AWAY |
35.7% |
— |
28 |
| vs FAST pace |
46.4% |
— |
28 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
52 GP · 39% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
15 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
8 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
48.6% |
— |
35 |
| Rest: 1 |
47.1% |
— |
34 |
| AWAY |
25.0% |
— |
32 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 34.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 36.5
10 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
8 GP · 38% over
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 38.5
6 GP · 33% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
45.5% |
— |
11 |
| vs MID pace |
28.6% |
— |
7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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