Points
50.0%
11-11 · 22 GP
NBA 2025–26
Kasparas Jakucionis
Miami Heat
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 50.0% (22 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Assists
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
61.1%
11-7 · 18 GP
Threes Made
56.3%
9-7 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
11-11
Average
7.0
Median
6.0
Games Played
22
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
71.4%
Record
5-2
Average
8.4
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
2.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
3.8
Median
3.5
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
7-4
Average
3.9
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 0 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
61.1%
Record
11-7
Average
13.7
Median
14.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 14.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
16.2
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
FanDuel
O/U 10.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
56.3%
Record
9-7
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
1.3
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.