Assists
49.2%
31-32 · 63 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
62.3%
38-23 · 61 GP
Points
54.1%
33-28 · 61 GP
Rebounds
47.5%
29-32 · 61 GP
Threes Made
52.5%
32-29 · 61 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
23 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
15 GP · 47% over
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
5 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
4 GP · 25% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
52.6% |
— |
19 |
| HOME |
58.8% |
— |
17 |
| vs MID pace |
47.1% |
— |
17 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 30.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
9 GP · 56% over
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
5 GP · 80% over
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
4 GP · 75% over
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
3 GP · 67% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
71.4% |
— |
7 |
| EARLY season |
66.7% |
— |
6 |
| AWAY |
40.0% |
— |
5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 19.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
11 GP · 46% over
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
6 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
5 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
5 GP · 60% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| EARLY season |
44.4% |
— |
9 |
| vs FAST pace |
37.5% |
— |
8 |
| Rest: 1 |
28.6% |
— |
7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
32 GP · 66% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
9 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
7 GP · 43% over
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
5 GP · 0% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
57.1% |
— |
21 |
| HOME |
55.0% |
— |
20 |
| vs MID pace |
50.0% |
— |
20 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
29 GP · 48% over
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
12 GP · 58% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
10 GP · 30% over
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
4 GP · 100% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
52.0% |
— |
25 |
| vs MID pace |
31.8% |
— |
22 |
| HOME |
40.9% |
— |
22 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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