Points
48.1%
26-28 · 54 GP
NBA 2025–26
Khris Middleton
Washington Wizards
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.1% (54 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
37.3%
19-32 · 51 GP
Rebounds
54.9%
28-23 · 51 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
51.0%
26-25 · 51 GP
Threes Made
47.4%
18-20 · 38 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
26-28
Average
11.9
Median
11.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
9.9
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 83.3% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.3%
Record
19-32
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
45.8%
Record
11-13
Average
3.5
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 12 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.9%
Record
28-23
Average
4.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
64.5%
Record
20-11
Average
4.7
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 70.6% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 41.2% | — | 17 |
| vs MID pace | 57.1% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.0%
Record
26-25
Average
19.1
Median
19.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
17.2
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
18-20
Average
1.1
Median
1.0
Games Played
38
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
42.1%
Record
8-11
Average
1.2
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 15 |
| vs MID pace | 41.7% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 45.5% | — | 11 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.