Threes Made
55.0%
33-27 · 60 GP
NBA 2025–26
Klay Thompson
Dallas Mavericks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 55.0% (60 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
45.0%
27-33 · 60 GP
Rebounds
45.9%
17-20 · 37 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
39.3%
11-17 · 28 GP
Assists
40.0%
8-12 · 20 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.0%
Record
33-27
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
53.5%
Record
23-20
Average
2.8
GP at Line
43
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 28 |
| AWAY | 63.6% | — | 22 |
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 21 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
27-33
Average
11.7
Median
10.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
23.1%
Record
3-10
Average
10.2
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 14.3% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.9%
Record
17-20
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
37
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
16-18
Average
2.4
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 54.2% | — | 24 |
| vs FAST pace | 52.4% | — | 21 |
| HOME | 42.1% | — | 19 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
39.3%
Record
11-17
Average
15.0
Median
13.5
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 14.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
15.2
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
8-12
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
41.2%
Record
7-10
Average
1.4
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.