Threes Made
51.7%
45-42 · 87 GP
Points
51.2%
44-42 · 86 GP
Rebounds
52.4%
44-40 · 84 GP
Assists
49.4%
39-40 · 79 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
56.4%
44-34 · 78 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
36 GP · 58% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
19 GP · 53% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
8 GP · 38% over
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
8 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
46.2% |
— |
26 |
| vs FAST pace |
52.0% |
— |
25 |
| AWAY |
70.0% |
— |
20 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
14 GP · 64% over
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
12 GP · 58% over
FanDuel
O/U 17.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
6 GP · 17% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
50.0% |
— |
14 |
| vs FAST pace |
76.9% |
— |
13 |
| Rest: 1 |
53.8% |
— |
13 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
28 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
23 GP · 48% over
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
10 GP · 70% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
7 GP · 71% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
47.4% |
— |
19 |
| vs FAST pace |
58.8% |
— |
17 |
| Rest: 1 |
60.0% |
— |
15 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
30 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
20 GP · 65% over
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
12 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
8 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
36.0% |
— |
25 |
| Rest: 1 |
52.2% |
— |
23 |
| HOME |
40.9% |
— |
22 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 26.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
14 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
9 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
7 GP · 29% over
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
6 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
41.7% |
— |
12 |
| vs FAST pace |
60.0% |
— |
10 |
| Rest: 1 |
40.0% |
— |
10 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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