Points
48.5%
16-17 · 33 GP
NBA 2025–26
Kris Murray
Portland Trail Blazers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.5% (33 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
46.9%
15-17 · 32 GP
Threes Made
20.0%
2-8 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.5%
Record
16-17
Average
6.7
Median
6.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
7.7
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.9%
Record
15-17
Average
4.0
Median
3.5
Games Played
32
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
3.1
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
0.2
Median
0.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
0.2
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 0.0% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 0.0% | — | 5 |
| EARLY season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.