Points
62.8%
27-16 · 43 GP
NBA 2025–26
Lauri Markkanen
Utah Jazz
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 62.8% (43 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
54.8%
23-19 · 42 GP
Threes Made
47.6%
20-22 · 42 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
60.0%
24-16 · 40 GP
Assists
58.8%
20-14 · 34 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 24.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
62.8%
Record
27-16
Average
26.4
Median
27.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 24.5
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
22.2
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| EARLY season | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 16.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.8%
Record
23-19
Average
6.8
Median
7.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
64.7%
Record
11-6
Average
6.9
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 70.0% | — | 10 |
| vs MID pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.6%
Record
20-22
Average
2.7
Median
3.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
54.2%
Record
13-11
Average
2.8
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| vs MID pace | 38.5% | — | 13 |
| AWAY | 61.5% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 34.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
24-16
Average
34.8
Median
35.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 34.5
Over Rate
75.0%
Record
6-2
Average
39.4
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 83.3% | — | 6 |
| EARLY season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 1 | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
58.8%
Record
20-14
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
34
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
64.5%
Record
20-11
Average
2.0
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 52.6% | — | 19 |
| vs FAST pace | 62.5% | — | 16 |
| EARLY season | 73.3% | — | 15 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.