Assists
33.3%
24-48 · 72 GP
NBA 2025–26
Luka Doncic
Los Angeles Lakers
Assists 33.3% Under (72 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Threes Made
58.7%
44-31 · 75 GP
Rebounds
41.1%
30-43 · 73 GP
Points
56.9%
41-31 · 72 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.1%
32-36 · 68 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
24-48
Average
8.2
Median
8.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
34.5%
Record
10-19
Average
8.1
GP at Line
29
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
FanDuel
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 16.7% | — | 18 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 63.6% | — | 11 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
58.7%
Record
44-31
Average
4.3
Median
4.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
58.2%
Record
32-23
Average
4.3
GP at Line
55
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 52.9% | — | 34 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.2% | — | 26 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 24 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.1%
Record
30-43
Average
7.7
Median
7.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
10-16
Average
7.0
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 31.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.9%
Record
41-31
Average
34.2
Median
33.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 31.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
34.7
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 50.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
32-36
Average
49.8
Median
51.0
Games Played
68
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 50.5
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
4-7
Average
49.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 50.5
DraftKings
O/U 49.5
DraftKings
O/U 51.5
DraftKings
O/U 47.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.