Points
36.4%
4-7 · 11 GP
NBA 2025–26
Marcus Sasser
Detroit Pistons
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 36.4% (11 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
20.0%
2-8 · 10 GP
Assists
40.0%
4-6 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
4-7
Average
7.3
Median
6.0
Games Played
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
1.2
Median
1.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
14.3%
Record
1-6
Average
1.0
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
1-4
Average
2.0
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.